What if you could play the market with cheat codes enabled?
Humans have been on a quest to know the future for eons. Trade the Opens's algorithm is fascinated by it, too.
And while we don’t know if the future is 100% predictable, we do know that it is 68% predictable.
Why 68%? That’s our best Hit Rate to date – the percentage of bets our algorithm gets right when it sees the potential for surprise in the markets.
We're not sure if perfect foresight is possible in our lifetime, but we do know the only way to find out is with your help.
If you’ve ever wanted to train an algorithm, today is your lucky day.
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Some dance to predict, some dance to react.
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Data Points
In markets, there are Prediction Players and there are Reaction Players.
Prediction Players (often Fundamental investors) study companies intimately and make predictions about their fundamentals in order to place bets on which companies will win or lose. They are limited in the quantity of information they can process and the number of bets they can take. The human brain only has so much capacity.
Reaction Players (known as Systematic investors) care less about seeing the future, and more about reacting to new information before anyone else has the chance. They make money by placing thousands of smaller bets which helps lower their risk across the entire portfolio.
Trade the Open is the best of both worlds. We take the technology of a reactive investor — terabytes of data, computational power, and machine learning — and use it to make predictions across thousands of companies at once.
There’s the reality of the economy, and the noise of the market.
In the short run, the market is a voting machine.
Stocks go up. Stocks go down. And lately these moves seem more pronounced than ever. When you’re placing a bet in the short run, you’re at the mercy of the speed and diversity of human thought.
Every time another (big) player’s expectations change, prices do too.
That’s why Trade the Open places its bets out beyond the noise. Because eventually, markets become a weighing machine.
Trade the Open succeeds by placing bets in moments where the voting has strayed too far from the weighing – where human expectations have diverged from economic reality.